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HomeMy WebLinkAbout09/29/2015 02 Yakima Public Market / Business Incubator ConceptITEM TITLE: SUBMITTED BY: SUMMARY EXPLANATION: '1111111 1, nun 11,1:1141r10 BUSINESS OF THE CITY COUNCIL YAKIMA, WASHINGTON AGENDA STATEMENT Item No. 2. For Meeting of: September 29, 2015 Yakima public market / business incubator concept Sean Hawkins, Economic Development Manager, 575-6274 In June of 2014, the Yakima City Council authorized a study to look at the feasibility of a public market / business incubator concept for the City of Yakima. The project was recommended as part of the Downtown Master Plan prepared by Crandall Arambula for the City of Yakima. The City hired BDS Planning for Seattle, WA to lead the project that also included a team of Graham Baba Architects and ECONorthwest. The study was funded through a combination of local funds and Yakima County's SIED funding program. The team conducted outreach interviews with potential vendors and entrepreneurs, conducted public sessions with the City's local food cooperative and conducted surveys over 600 local residents to determine if a public market / business incubator concept would be feasible in Yakima and what elements the public wanted to see in a such a market. ECONorthwest conducted an economic study to determine if there was enough local spending power to support the concept within our trade area. Graham Baba Architects developed some potential layout concepts and looked at the positive and negative aspects of potential locations for the market throughout the downtown district. This study session will present the consultant's findings and allow for Q&A from the Council and the public. Resolution: Ordinance: Other (Specify): Contract: Contract Term: Start Date: End Date: Item Budgeted: Amount: Funding Source/Fiscal Impact: Strategic Priority: Insurance Required? No Mail to: Phone: APPROVED FOR SUBMITTAL: RECOMMENDATION: ATTACHMENTS: Description Yakima PubIllic Market. / IBusiness Unculbator (:ncept Study City Manager Upload Date Type 9/24/2015 Omer Memo Yakima Public Market Business Concept August 2015 Prepared for: City of Yakima BDS PLANNING & URBAN DESIGN ECONorthwest ECONOMICS • FINANCE • PLANNING GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS This page intentionally blank Acknowledgments This report was produced for the City of Yakima by the consulting team of BDS Planning & Urban Design, ECONorthwest, and Graham Baba Architects. City of Yakima Micah Cawley, Mayor Tony O'Rourke, City Manager Sean Hawkins, Economic Development Manager BDS Planning & Urban Design Founded in 2009, BDS offers comprehensive community development services, with emphasis on projects that require building consensus and unlikely coalitions, communicating complex information, demonstrating leading ideas, and shaping policy. www.bdsplanning.com ECONorthwest For over 4o years ECONorthwest has helped its clients make sound decisions based on rigorous economic, planning, and financial analysis. www.econw.com. Graham Baba Architects Graham Baba Architects is a vibrant Seattle architecture firm recognized for the successful place -making of commercial, residential, artistic, institutional, and public spaces. www.grahambaba.com BDS ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS i This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS ii Table of Contents SUMMARY V 1. INTRODUCTION 1 2. OUTREACH AND DEMAND FORECAST 3 2.1 OUTREACH RESULTS 2.2 DEMAND FORECAST 3. MARKET CONCEPT 3.1 LOCATION 3.2 DESIGN 3.2.1 Ground Floor 3.2.2 Mezzanine 3.2.3 Basement 3 6 11 12 12 15 15 11 4. OPERATING STRUCTURE 17 4.1 PUBLIC MARKET 17 4.2 COMMERCIAL KITCHEN 18 5. OPPORTUNITIES, CHALLENGES, AND BEST PRACTICES19 6. CONSTRUCTION AND FINANCING 23 6.1 CONSTRUCTION COST 23 6.2 FINANCIAL PLAN 23 7. OPERATING FORECAST 27 7.1 MODEL FRAMEWORK AND ASSUMPTIONS 27 7.1.1 Revenues 27 7.1.2 Expenses 28 7.2 FINANCIAL FORECAST 30 8. ECONOMIC IMPACTS AND BENEFITS 33 9. APPENDIX A: OUTREACH RESULTS 35 10. APPENDIX B: WORKSHOP SUMMARY 41 B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS iii This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS iv Summary During the fall and winter of 2014-15, the consulting team of BDS Planning & Urban Design, ECONorthwest, and Graham Baba Architects researched the feasibility of a Public Market and Mixed -Use Incubator/Commercial Kitchen in Yakima, Washington. The team determined that the project was in fact feasible, given certain conditions, which are included in the following summary of the team's findings: 1. Sales: Market vendors would generate between $4.2 million and $6.5 million in sales each year. 2. Size: The market would ideally encompass two stories and a basement totaling 27,500 square feet. The ground floor (15,000 square feet) would house approximately 3o vendors and a communal seating area. The mezzanine (5,000 square feet) would accommodate a commercial kitchen, child- care facilities, educational programming, and small events. The basement (7,500 square feet) would provide storage as well as space for loading, unloading, and circulation. 3. Hours of Operation: The market would be open at least Wednesday through Sunday and remain open until at least 6:oo PM on weekdays. 4. Vendors: Food vendors' stalls would comprise about 10 percent of the total area. Other vendors would provide staple goods, large dry goods, specialty goods, and competitively priced goods. Priority would be given to vendors whose products are local. In addition, vendors would have access to a washing and packaging system. 5. Operating Structure: The market would be a nonprofit entity, with access to public funding, tax-exempt donations, and tax exemptions. BDS ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS v 6. Coordination: The market would coordinate efforts and operations with the existing farmers' market in a number of ways, e.g., by providing discounts to vendors who rent space at both markets. 7. Parking: Safe, free parking would be provided to customers within two blocks of the market. 8. Costs: It would cost approximately $7,500,000 to build the market, and this financing would be accomplished before construction occurs. Options for such financing include City and County grants, private donations, sponsorships, tax credits, block grants, and funds from State and Federal Agriculture Departments. Pay for the core employees—manager, assistant manager, and bookkeeper—would be approximately $16o,o00 each year. 9. Revenues: The market would receive revenues from vendors (approximately $28o,000 in rent each year), operators of the commercial kitchen and event spaces (approximately $82,000 each year), and, potentially, corporate sponsors. Once the market is stabilized in 2019, it would net approximately $58,000 each year. 10. Impact: The market would increase local employment, provide economic stability, generate tax revenues, support development of the local food-processing industry, draw visitors, improve traffic to nearby businesses, and motivate investment in the area. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS vi 1. Introduction This is a report on the proposed development of a Yakima Public Market. The report was based on extensive research (local as well as national) and prepared by BDS Planning & Urban Design, ECONorthwest, and Graham Baba Architects. It not only demonstrates the feasibility but also describes how to implement the building and operating of the market to the advantage of Yakima's businesses as well as its citizens. The primary recommendations of the report are to secure debt -free funding for the market before construction and to establish the market as a nonprofit entity. More detailed recommendations can be found in the Summary. What needs to happen next includes the following: ■ Establish an entity and delineate procedures to implement the recommendations. ■ Secure the appropriate permits for the market as well as for parking space. ■ Build and maintain partnerships with individuals and groups who can help finance, operate, and publicize the market. The team of BDS Planning and Urban Design, ECONorthwest, and Graham Baba Architects remains accessible to help pursue these objectives. BDS ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 1 This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 2 2. Outreach and Demand Forecast To establish the feasibility of a Pubic Market and/or Mixed -Use Incubator / Commercial Kitchen in Yakima, the consultant team reached out to interested communities in Yakima and also forecast demand by comparing Yakima's socio-economic characteristics with the requirements of typical public markets and commercial kitchens. 2.1 Outreach Results The Project Team reached out to several different populations in order to determine to what extent and how the project should proceed. These efforts included 1) a survey administered to members of the Yakima community in the winter of 2015, 2) a day- long workshop in the fall of 2014, 3) a meeting with a Food Artisan group in August 2014, and 4) meetings with market vendors, also in August 2014. 2.1.1 Survey The purpose of the survey was primarily to identify the buying habits of local residents and the characteristics of a public market that residents would favor. Here are the highlights: ■ The vast majority of respondents patronize grocery stores for food and beverages. They go several times a week and two- thirds of them spend X75-$1oo a week. ■ Respondents consider local production their top criterion for choosing what and where to purchase food and beverages, followed by price and then convenience. ■ Almost half of respondents patronize a farmers market or specialty food market at least once a month; about a fifth of them go at least once a week. ■ Respondents like the farmers market or specialty food market primarily because the produce is local and fresh. If they don't like anything about them, it's the price. ■ Fully 83% of respondents would like to see a public market in Yakima. About half would like to see it in downtown Yakima. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 3 They'd like the market to include food and beverage vendors (94%), prepared foods (8o%), restaurants (66%), event space (6o%), a commercial kitchen (52%), and educational programs (47%). The survey was given to about 600 people, about three-quarters of whom lived in the local area. The results indicate a strong desire for a public market, preferably in downtown Yakima. See Appendix A for more details about survey results. 2.1.2 Workshop The Project team toured potential sites for a public market, brainstormed options, considered existing plans and data from previous research, and identified priorities. Here are the highlights: ■ There is strong demand from the City of Yakima for downtown revitalization and strong demand from potential vendors for a public market and commercial kitchen. ■ Successful public markets around the country maintain an appropriate size, charge reasonable rents, include a variety of vendors, take advantage of iconic urban buildings, benefit from a commercial kitchen, have a strong operating entity, and are free from debt. The team made the following recommendations: ■ The City should proceed with planning a public market and commercial kitchen conjoined with the public plaza in downtown Yakima; this location would benefit the new market, the existing market, and the community as a whole. ■ The market would be 15,00o -20,00o square feet, not including 2,000-4,000 square feet for a commercial kitchen and additional space for storage. ■ Stalls would be 12 feet x 12 feet, which would accommodate as many as 3o vendors. ■ Funding sources would include public agencies and private sponsors, as well as tax credits. Revenue would accrue from vendor rentals and other charges. ■ Criteria for site selection would be transparent. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 4 ■ Both public and private advocates for the market would be identified and brought on board to help with development and operations. 2.1.3 Meeting with Food Artisan Group Brian Scott facilitated this meeting with 25 business owners and others concerned and knowledgeable about small businesses. The discussion focused on the proposed public market: the characteristics they'd like to see, the logistics they thought were necessary, and the concerns they had. The highlights follow. Characteristics of a proposed public market: ■ A variety of goods for sale, including "gourmet" as well as economically priced items ■ A downtown location ■ A co-op kitchen ■ Local products ■ An affordable kitchen ■ 24-hour access ■ Open year-round ■ Locked, refrigerated, dry, and temperature -controlled storage ■ Variable fee schedule ■ Effective management ■ Food trucks ■ "Business incubator" with support services ■ Logistics: o Need for parking o Truck access o Scalable loading area o Connection with tourism in the Yakima valley ■ Concerns: o Sufficient room for expansion o Limited consumer base o Need to create excitement B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 5 2.1 .4 Meetings with Market Vendors Individual meetings took place with various market vendors on Sunday, August 10, in Yakima, and Saturday, August 16, in Wenatchee. Again, the topic was the proposed public market. In general, vendors seemed eager to know more about the market, especially how it might affect the current public market of which they were a part. Highlights: ■ Many vendors wanted a venue in which they could sell their products throughout the year. ■ They placed a high priority on effective management (some seemed displeased with current management of the public market). ■ They expressed concern that a new market might displace the current one. ■ They were very interested in a commercial kitchen, particularly if it was accessible and reasonably priced. ■ They considered parking essential. ■ Vendors from outside Yakima were less interested in a second market. ■ Some vendors thought that a market friendly to children was important. ■ Many vendors emphasized the desirability of ancillary events, such as food demonstrations, cooking classes, and even weddings. 2.2 Demand Forecast The purpose of this section is to demonstrate the feasibility of a public market, given conditions in the target area. It focuses on the market itself, based on the assumption that the project's success or failure will depend first and foremost on the ability of its vendors to capture a share of the market. To determine what share of spending would occur at the Yakima Market, members of the Project team calculated the size of the existing specialty food market sector, estimated the number of visitors and average visitor spending at businesses in this sector, B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 6 and then estimated Yakima Market's share of those visitors and spending. Due to the potential variability in what vendors the market will offer, we calculated a range of total sales for the market. At the high end, we estimate that vendors at the market would generate $6.5 million in sales. At the low end, we estimate that vendors at the market would generate $4.2 million in sales. 2.2.1 Market Estimate The Yakima public market will cater primarily to local patrons. For the purposes of this study, we assume the local market consists of households residing within a 32 -mile perimeter of downtown Yakima. Income and spending characteristics. According to 2013 estimates from Nielsen/Claritas, a nationally recognized market research data firm, 93,020 households live within 32 miles of downtown Yakima. Twenty-five percent are upper middle income, upper income, or affluent. Almost half of the households are lower middle income or middle income. The remaining 3o percent are low income. Table 1: Household Counts and Shares by 2013 Income 2013 Household Income Number Percent Less than $25,000 $25,000 to $50,000 $50,000 to $75,000 Over $75,000 Total households within 32 miles Source ECONorthwest with data from Nielsen/Claritas. 28,167 30% 24,921 27% 16,885 18% 23,047 25% 93,020 100% Using the most recent (2012) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer expenditure survey by household income, we determined that households in the market area spent over $382 million on food for consumption at home and $229 million on food and beverages consumed outside of home. Total spending was $672 million for area households. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 7 Table 2: Household Food and Beverage Spending by Distance from Downtown Yakima, 2012 MM$ Food and beverage purchases by resident households Under2 miles 2to4 miles 4to8 miles 8to16 miles 16to32 miles 32 mile radius Food purchased at stores & markets for use at home: Cereal products: flour, pasta, rice, etc. $2.9 $5.6 $1.6 $0.9 $5.3 $16.2 Bakery products 5.6 10.9 3.1 1.8 10.3 31.7 Beef 3.5 6.9 2.0 1.1 6.5 20.0 Pork 2.7 5.1 1.5 0.8 4.9 15.0 Other meat products: Iamb, deli meats, sausage, etc. 1.9 3.7 1.1 0.6 3.5 10.9 Poultry 2.5 4.9 1.4 0.8 4.7 14.3 Fish & seafood 1.9 3.9 1.1 0.6 3.6 11.1 Eggs 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.3 1.6 4.8 Dairy Products 6.5 12.9 3.7 2.0 12.0 37.1 Fresh fruits 4.0 8.0 2.3 1.3 7.4 22.9 Fresh vegetables 3.5 6.9 2.0 1.1 6.5 20.0 Processed fruit: juiced, dried, canned, frozen, fresh prepared 1.8 3.5 1.0 0.6 3.3 10.1 Processed vegetables: canned, frozen, fresh prepared, etc. 2.1 4.0 1.1 0.7 3.8 11.7 Sweet products: sugar, syrup, jams, candy, artificial sweeteners 2.3 4.5 1.3 0.7 4.2 13.0 Fats & oils: includes salad dressing, margarine, peanut butter 1.8 3.5 1.0 0.6 3.4 10.3 Miscellaneous foods 10.9 21.5 6.2 3.4 20.2 62.2 Alcoholic beverages 6.4 14.0 4.0 2.0 12.0 38.4 Nonalcoholic beverages: soda, water, coffee, tea, mixes 5.8 11.3 3.3 1.8 10.8 33.1 Total food & beverages bought for use at home $66.8 $132.8 $38.3 $21.1 $123.9 $382.9 Food from stores & markets for use out of town 3.0 5.9 14.5 27.2 9.7 60.3 Food & beverages away from home (restaurants, carts, etc.) 38.3 82.7 23.8 12.2 72.0 229.0 Total household spending on food & beverages $108.0 $221.4 $76.6 $60.4 $205.6 $672.1 Source ECONorthwest with data from Nielsen/Claritas. Specialty food market sector. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, there are 37 specialty food stores in Yakima County. Specialty Food Magazine reported that the average specialty food store is 5,010 square feet. Assuming that, on average, these stores are comparable in size to other specialty food stores across the nation, then there are approximately 185,370 square feet of specialty food stores in the county. On a square foot basis, the Yakima Market would increase the volume of specialty food stores by ten percent. The specialty vendor component of the market includes the entire first floor (15,000 square feet) plus the vendor storage space in the basement (4,000 square feet). Once open, the Yakima Market would comprise nine percent of the specialty food sector in the County. Number of visits. The Project team used data from the community survey on how frequently households shop at specialty markets to determine the number of likely visitors to the Yakima Market. Based on the number of households by income level (Table 1) and the frequency at which people at that income level shop at public markets, we determined that existing markets receive 1.5 million visits by households each year. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 8 The Yakima Market would likely receive 11 percent of those visits, which equates to its fair share of the market (based on the square footage ratios)' and a marginal increase to account for the convenience and unique experience of shopping with multiple vendors at once. In total, the Yakima Market would receive 156,063 visits from households each year. Table 3: Household Visitors to the Yakima Market Shopping Frequnecy Assumed Visits Per Year HH Population by Visit Frequency Total Number of Visits Yakima Market Capture Visits to Yakima Market Never 0 7,976 0 0 Once per year 1 14,204 14,204 1,519 Once every 3 to 6 months 3 13,992 41,977 4,488 Once every 2 to 3 months 6 12,708 76,249 11% 8,152 Once per month 12 24,200 290,399 31,048 Once per week or more 52 19,940 1,036,879 110,857 Total number of visits 93,020 1,459,707 156,063 Source ECONorthwest with data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Specialty Food Magazine, and the community survey. Spending. Due to the potential variability in what vendors the market will offer, we calculated a range of total sales for the market. If the market offers a diverse range of products, including a dry goods store, more people will shop at the market who otherwise would have gone to a grocery store for the convenience factor. Therefore, it will capture a share of food and beverage spending at grocery stores, and vendor sales will likely reach the high end of the range. If the market offers solely specialty and prepared foods, it will capture a smaller share of food and beverage spending and total vendor sales will likely fall in the low end of the range. At the high end, we estimate that vendors at the market would generate $6.5 million in sales. This figure equals the total number of household visits to the market multiplied by an average transaction size of $41.49, which is the average value of a specialty food transaction in the U.S., according to Specialty Food Magazine. 1 Specialty food stores vary in patronage and revenues depending on a range of factors, including quality and variety of products, cost, location, and other characteristics. For the purposes of this assessment, we need to understand only the total estimated volume of specialty food store activity to estimate the share of activity that Yakima Market could capture. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 9 At the low end, we estimate that vendors at the market would generate $4.2 million in sales. This estimate assumes that one-third of the households that visit the market would make a large volume of food and beverage purchases (an average transaction of $41.49). It assumes that the other two-thirds would make prepared food and quick service restaurant purchases, which would total $2o per household visitor. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 10 3. Market Concept The consulting team for the Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study met in Yakima for a one -day workshop on October 27, 2014. They collaboratively evaluated the previous outreach and analysis, toured potential sites, brainstormed options, and presented a synthesis of options to the Steering Committee, City Manager, Council members, and others. This day- long workshop provided the basis for the market concepts related to location and design presented here. See Appendix B for a summary of the workshop. 3.1 Location The Consulting Team assessed seven sites selected by the City of Yakima for the feasibility study. After a tour, the Consulting Team discussed the pros and cons of each site. They also considered two sites of their own choosing. The Team considered each site in relation to its location and size, existing buildings/infrastructure, lighting, ambiance, parking, and adjacency to the proposed plaza, among other criteria. Each of the sites considered had merits for a Public Market and/or a Commercial Kitchen. Most of the sites could be physically adapted to support these uses. A primary issue, however, is the relationship of the Public Market and Commercial Incubator Kitchen to the Public Plaza. Downtown Yakima already struggles to compete economically. Successful commercial districts function best when their destination uses are close together to focus and reinforce the attraction of the whole district. As such, the consulting team strongly suggests that the Public Market be co - located with the Public Plaza in order to reinforce the community's investments and draw more activity. The consulting team also looked at the co -location of a commercial kitchen with the public market using the same criteria. The Team agreed that there is not a definitive answer to whether these facilities should be co -located. Given the local enthusiasm for both, however, the opportunity for one to reinforce the other should be seriously considered. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 11 3.2 Design There is no "one size fits all" approach to public market design. Broadly, Yakima Public Market would be a year-round indoor market located in the heart of Yakima. It would be a place for the community residents and visitors to shop at and support local businesses as well as experience a unique venue, and for local businesses to grow and thrive. The Project team has developed a carefully thought out plan for the specific components of the market based on its experience in public market design in conjunction with feedback from potential vendors and the community at large. The team envisions a two-story and basement, 27,500 square foot, public market building. The ground floor (15,000 square feet) would be the heart of the market. It would house the vendors and a communal seating area. A mezzanine level (5,000 square feet) would include a commercial kitchen and small event space. The basement (7,500 square feet) would provide substantial cold and dry storage for both the vendors and the commercial kitchen tenants. We recommend that the market initially be open five days per week, Wednesday through Sunday. Maintaining regular and convenient operating hours is always a challenge with markets consisting of small businesses. To maintain consistency, which is an important factor in building customer loyalty, the market should require vendors to be open during set business hours. To serve close -in residents, it should require vendors to stay open past 6:00 PM on weekdays. Prepared food vendors who cater to the lunchtime crowd may wish to be open seven days per week, to offer lunch to office workers in the area. The Yakima Public Market could facilitate this by providing direct outdoor access to prepared food vendor stalls via a food service window or garage door (the latter also offers an opportunity to have market activities spill out onto the sidewalk during favorable weather). 3.2.1 Ground Floor The ground floor of the market would be approximately 15,000 square feet. We recommend housing all of the vendors on this B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 12 floor, so that all benefit from the same volume of foot traffic. This floor should also include a common area with seating for patrons who wish to sit and enjoy food or beverages on-site, and perhaps space for a musician on the weekend or special occasions. The sketch below shows one possible design for the space. It allows for 8,360 net rentable square feet of vendor space. This share of floor space is in line with other public markets that we researched. Figure 1: Ground Floor Market Concept WASHROOM WASHROOM STAIRS & ELEVATOR STAND 01 2400 now Goods STAND 02 210,1 KMMa Sapphet STAND 03 STAND 04 STAND 05 710+1 240,I 710.1 1116,61664 soots Wen Shop STAND 08 moo 6w STAND 17 600,1 them Shop STAND 16 600.1 pmvnons STAND 1 5 6000 060 STAND 14 neral Markt The ground floor sketch shows space for 18 vendors, but the actual number of vendors will vary depending on vendor demand. Given the relatively high portion of vendor survey respondents that had an idea for a business or were just starting a business, the team recommends providing a higher number of small vendor spaces (e.g., 72 or 144 square feet), which will increase the total number of vendor stalls. To begin, we recommend that the market offer 3o vendor stalls ranging in size from 6 by 12 feet to 36 by 36 feet. STAND 10 50041 X01 STAND 11 5OO Meoeam STAND 12 50041 Gown STAND 13 1200,1 wmeBar & Sky, GRAHAM BABA ,i1; '1 I B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 13 Table 4: Recommended Vendor Stalls by Size Stall size Number of vendors Total square feet 6x 12 12x 12 12x24 24x24 36x36 8 12 4 4 2 576 1,728 1,152 2,304 2,592 Total 30 8,352 Ideally, as incubator or other startup businesses mature, they will purchase larger spaces, which may again shift the size of the vendor stalls and total number of vendors. We recommend a flexible interior design with mobile partial walls dividing vendor spaces, which would allow management to easily adapt the market space to meet changing demand. In addition to the size of vendor stalls, management must also pay close attention to the types of vendors. Vendor diversity is important to the success of the market. Team members conducted interviews with a number of market operators across the country regarding how they structure their vendor mixes. Using this research, in conjunction with interviews of potential local vendors, we developed an example vendor mix for the Yakima Public Market. A few recommendations about the vendor mix: • Limit the number of prepared food vendors to approximately ten percent of the total square footage. Otherwise, the market will feel more like a food court, which has been a detriment to other markets in the U.S. • Customers, particularly those in Yakima (based on the community survey) like one-stop shopping. So, try to provide a variety of staple goods. Providing a large dry goods space (which may be offered by a local full service grocer) is one way to achieve this outcome. • Offer items at a range of price points. For example, select one produce vendor that offers more expensive local, organic, or hard -to -find produce and another produce vendor that stocks competitively priced produce. More than two-thirds of households in Yakima County make under $50,000 per year. These households still shop at specialty markets according to our research, but they will be more price -conscious. Eleven percent of community survey respondents stated that one of the major drawbacks to specialty food markets in Yakima is the lack of variety. Table 5: Vendor Mix Cate ory Bread, Bakery, Pastry Book, News Cafes Cheese Coffee, Tea Flowers, Garden Meat, Poultry, Charcuterie Seafood Produce Specialty Foods Ethnic Foods Prepared Foods Dry Goods Wine, Beer, Spirits Total Number 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 5 1 1 30 B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 14 3.2.2 Mezzanine The mezzanine would consist of a commercial kitchen and a small event space. The Project team urges the co -location of the market and commercial kitchen for two reasons. First, public markets and commercial kitchens have a symbiotic relationship. They require many of the same ancillary facilities (i.e., loading areas and cold and dry storage space); vendors that opt to use both facilities will have lower transportation costs, as they will no longer need to transport goods from their current production facility to their retail location. They target similar consumer groups, and can engage in cross marketing at low to no cost. New markets scheduled to open in Pittsburgh and Portland will include commercial kitchens. Second, the two facilities benefit one another. Most respondents across vendor outreach surveys have an idea for a business or are just starting a business. These individuals likely do not have a product ready to sell and could benefit from an incubator that would provide them with the strategic support and facilities required to start and manage their business. These individuals might start by working in the commercial kitchen (if it were part of an incubator experience) to develop and test their products. Once their products were ready to sell, they could easily rent a space in the market. The event space should be non-specific, to allow for a variety of uses. On the weekends, we recommend using the event space for childcare. Childcare will attract families to the market and keep them shopping longer. The event space would also be suitable for educational programming, which would tie into the mission of the market. 3.2.3 Basement Vendors and commercial kitchen users need both cold and dry storage. They rent this additional space on a per square foot basis to store excess inventory; they can keep their booths tidy and organized, and consolidate the number of deliveries. Among markets that reported sufficient storage for tenants, the average market provided 81 square feet of cold storage and 90 square feet of dry storage per tenant. We recommend building 4,000 square feet B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 15 of storage space. The remaining space in the basement should be used for loading, unloading, and circulation. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 16 4. Operating Structure Possible management and operating structures—and their associated costs and benefits—will vary depending on the size and scope of each market segment. The market has two unique components that have different objectives and operating needs: the public market and the commercial kitchen. The purpose of this section is to describe the options available to the City and to provide a bottom line assessment of the feasibility of each. 4.1 Public Market There are several operating models to consider for the public market. Nonprofit. Most public markets are nonprofit owned and operated. A board of directors would govern the organization. An executive director with the support of a small staff would manage the operations. The benefits of a nonprofit model include: access to public funding, access to tax-exempt donations, and potential tax exemptions. The drawbacks to a nonprofit model include: a group of citizens required to sit on a Board of Directors and stay engaged for the long haul, and potential difficulty in raising funds for construction and ongoing maintenance. For Profit. The City may choose to find a private entity to construct, own, and manage the public market. The benefits of a for-profit entity include: access to traditional sources of bank financing and private equity to fund construction, responsiveness to operational challenges, and energy. The drawback to a for-profit entity is a priority of profit over mission. Public Ownership. The City of Yakima could choose to own and operate the market as a City venture. The benefits of City ownership include: access to public funds and the ability to run it as a mission -based organization. The drawbacks to City ownership include: annual competition for funding with other city responsibilities and potential changes in city priorities over time. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 17 4.2 Commercial Kitchen Due to the number of Yakima residents with an interest in starting a food -related business or who have just started a food -related business, we recommend that a separate entity operate the commercial kitchen as part of an incubator/accelerator. This entity would pay a flat rate per month to the public market owner to lease the commercial kitchen and a portion of the storage space. This entity might also master -lease a set number of vendor spaces from the market. It would manage or contract with the market to manage the sub -leasing and operations of those spaces. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 18 5. Opportunities, Challenges, and Best Practices This section highlights opportunities, challenges, and best practices for the Yakima Public Market. It draws on both the primary research conducted by the Project Team and secondary research conducted by ECONorthwest. The secondary research drew from analyses of public markets and commercial kitchens, as well as studies from the USDA and other relevant sources. Research focused on the following markets and kitchens, as they are in a region with many similar characteristics or have demonstrated success: ■ Eastern Market (South Hall), Washington, DC ■ Findlay Market, Cincinnati, OH ■ Granville Island Public Market, Vancouver, BC ■ Lexington Market, Baltimore, MD ■ Melrose Market, Seattle, WA ■ Pike Place Market, Seattle, WA ■ Pittsburgh Public Market, Pittsburgh, PA ■ Pybus Public Market, Wenatchee, WA ■ Reading Terminal, Philadelphia, PA ■ Rochester Public Market, Rochester, NY ■ Soulard Market, St. Louis, MO ■ Sprout Regional Food Hub, Springfield, MO ■ The Starting Block, Hart, MI This section highlights the best practices that emerged from this research, which may inform market operations. Capital funding. Public market and commercial kitchen facilities are expensive, both to construct and to operate. In its early years, a public market is lucky if it generates net operating income. If a market or commercial kitchen has debt obligations on top of operating costs, it may be unable to provide an adequate B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 19 level of maintenance and service. In such cases, the facility will lose customers as it ages, which will ultimately lead to a further decline in vendor sales and vendor rents. Markets or commercial kitchens that use debt financing for their capital facilities often find themselves in this position. The Yamhill Market in Portland, Oregon, is one such example. Unable to service debt, physical deterioration followed and, after several years, the market closed. Creative destruction. An economic principle explains why most public markets succeed. These markets allow for rapid, cost- effective "creative destruction" — an economics term describing the process of incessantly creating new businesses and destroying old ones that become uncompetitive. That is, public markets rapidly respond to changing customer demand and interests. It costs relatively little to change out vendors. A vendor, new or existing, who has an innovative product or idea, can more easily execute it in a public market, which is designed for easy set-up and attracts large numbers of potential customers. Likewise, a vendor with a product or cost structure that consumers view unfavorably can fail and be replaced quickly within the confines of the market. Fixed stores and restaurants lack this flexibility. Thus, a market that is capable of accommodating changes quickly can better satisfy consumers' interests. Farmers market partnership. A number of survey respondents indicated concern regarding competition between the proposed public market and the existing farmers market. Due to the proximity of these two projects and the small size of the market, we strongly urge the two ventures to work together. One option would be for the farmers market to serve as an extension of the public market on Sunday mornings. Another is for vendors who rent space at both markets to receive a discount. A third opportunity for collaboration is for the two to invest in joint branding and marketing to improve visibility and market penetration for both. Parking. While a number of customers will walk, bike, or take public transit to the market, most customers will drive. There must be safe parking within two blocks of the market and it must be free to the customer while they shop. Recall that most sales will come from households with children, and such families are unlikely to use public transportation, as it is expensive and difficult to manage when carrying packages. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 20 Social gathering. A major feature that attracts people to public markets is the social gathering phenomenon. People find safe, familiar, busy places very appealing. The market design should maximize this effect. For example, it could offer a children's play area, a central square with ample seating, and occasional events. Accessibility. The market must be easily visible and attractive from afar (beacon effect). For drivers, pedestrians, and public transit riders to find their way to the market, it should provide clear signage for parking and entrances. Local first. Two-thirds of community survey respondents said that "local" was the first or second most important factor in their food purchasing decisions. Therefore, we recommend that market management prioritize vendors whose products are local, and that they focus advertising on this point. Pricing. Most of the spending on food for home use comes from households earning less than $8o,000. These households are price sensitive, so successful markets must offer competitive values. To do so, markets must have strong retail efficiencies: good, safe truck access; plenty of secure storage; and enough easily accessible parking to ensure a large flow of customer traffic. Packaging. The value of consumer time is exemplified by the fact that 7o percent of the lettuce bought in America today is pre- packaged. Such pre-packaged goods represent one out of every six dollars spent on vegetables today. In this form greens are mixed, washed, and ready to use. It saves buyers time and offers greater variety. As one option for this growing genre of customers, consider having a washing and packaging system that farmers could share at the market. Childcare. To attract families to the market and keep them shopping longer, the market may consider providing free childcare. The market should also have one or more features that would appeal to children of various ages. Doing so would reduce adult consumer friction when deciding where to shop. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 21 This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 22 6. Construction and Financing GBA produced a construction cost estimate for the market and ECONorthwest provided an explanation of potential funding sources. 6.1 Construction Cost GBA produced a cost estimate for the Yakima Market that applies to new construction or rehabilitation of an existing structure . The estimate is for a facility with a 15,000 square foot ground floor footprint, a 7,500 square foot basement, and a 5,o0o square foot mezzanine. The total cost to construct the facility would be $7,522,056.2 This cost includes both hard costs and project development/soft costs. It reflects anticipated costs for a basic, metal -framed, warm shell, and core complete with basic heating, washrooms, power distribution, and basement storage space that is critical to tenant operations. The cost to open does not include tenant improvements, such as electrical within the spaces, finishes, and lighting. The Market may wish to offer a tenant improvement allowance to help cover these costs. An allowance for a test kitchen is included. The model is very similar to the Pybus Market building in Wenatchee. This cost figure would apply for a new structure on a clear, flat site or the adaptive reuse of an existing structure. Given the vintage of buildings in the area, structural work for either scenario would be relatively equal. Any building that is suitable will require a full seismic retrofit as well as ADA and energy code compliance. 6.2 Financial Plan Most successful public markets are debt -free on the capital side and focus their longer term funding and financing plans on ongoing operations. The pro forma indicates that the project 2 Source: The Robinson Company. Yakima Public Market, Order of Magnitude Cost Estimate: December 19, 2014 (Rev. 1/8/2015), with supplemental email between GBA and ECONorthwest (March 19, 2015). B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 23 should generate positive earnings once stabilized, so the primary challenge will be to finance the total development costs of the facility (site acquisition, design, engineering, permitting, securing financing, and actual construction). Having recently gone through this exercise on the capital side, we've become familiar with a portfolio of possibilities that range from public agency and private foundation grants to tax credits and crowd funding. The options available to the market will depend on what entity owns and manages the market, what are the competing priorities for public dollars, and how much risk the public sector is willing to take in providing and/or pursuing alternative financing among other factors, so an in-depth assessment of financial options is inappropriate at this stage. We recommend completing a robust finance strategy once the market concept and management structure are complete. Some options include: ■ City and County grants. The state has some prohibitions on lending of credit, but the market may qualify for these general funds or general obligation bond funds if it serves a "public purpose." ■ Private donations. Most public markets rely heavily on private donor contributions (individual, foundation, and corporate donation, and crowd funding). Markets organized as 5oi(c)(3) organizations may have an easier time soliciting donations, as they are tax-deductible. ■ Sponsorships and naming rights. Corporations and individuals may be willing to pay for naming rights for a specific segment of the market. This payment may occur one time or be ongoing. ■ New Markets Tax Credits. If the market is in a "very distressed" census tract, it may qualify for these tax credits. Competition is stiff, however, so it is not necessarily a dependable source of funding. ■ Historic Tax Credits. If the market is in a historic building, it can obtain tax credits for up to zo percent of the qualified rehabilitation cost. This source of funding may be accessible if the City selects a historic building with adaptive reuse potential. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 24 ■ Community Development Block Grants. If the activities of the market benefit low- and moderate -income people, then the market may be eligible for Community Development Block Grants. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development provides these funds to the City and County. ■ State and Federal Agriculture Department Funds. Agriculture Departments at both the state and federal levels offer funds that can support public market development. The James Beard Public Market in Portland has successfully solicited Agriculture Department funds for capital construction of its market. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 25 This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 26 7. Operating Forecast The operating forecast shows the revenues, costs, and earnings of the Yakima Market. 7.1 Model Framework and Assumptions This section summarizes the Yakima Market financial model framework and describes key assumptions for both its revenues and costs. It assumes that all revenues and costs will rise with inflation. Unless otherwise specified, all dollar values are in 2015 dollars. 7.1.1 Revenues The Yakima Market will receive revenues from two definitive sources: (1) market vendors (stall and storage space leases), and (2) operators of the ancillary elements (commercial kitchen and event space). It may also receive revenues from corporate sponsors. ECONorthwest did not forecast revenues from corporate sponsorships, as the market may exhaust this source in the near term during its capital financing campaign. Market Vendors. Table 6 shows annual vendor lease rates and revenues at stabilization for the market. These rates are "all -in" rates, meaning that they include common area maintenance (CAM) and property tax charges. They do not include utilities, for which we recommend the market individually meter and bill, as vendors that prepare food on site will have higher utility usage. Assuming a vacancy factor of 6 percent at stabilization (in line with other markets), vendors at the market will pay $280,872 in rent each year. Table 6: Annual Vendor Lease Rates and Revenues at Stabilization, 2015 $ Variable 6 x 12 12 x 12 12 x 24 24 x 24 36 x 36 Total Number of units 8 12 4 4 2 30 Rent per unit per year $3,300 $6,300 $11,700 $21,000 $33,000 Total rental revenue, 100% occupancy $26,400 $75,600 $46,800 $84,000 $66,000 $298,800 Vacancy factor (6%) (1,584) (4,536) (2,808) (5,040) (3,960) (17,928) Total rental revenue, at stabilization $24,816 $71,064 $43,992 $78,960 $62,040 $280,872 ECONorthwest developed lease rates based on consultations with other public markets as well as with commercial real estate broker Alex Hughes of Debbie Thomas Real estate in Portland, Oregon. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 27 Mr. Hughes specializes in unique real estate. Rent rates are a function of projected sales revenues. In addition to the unit leases, Yakima Market will also receive revenues from vendors for storage space. The model assumes that each vendor would require on average 63 SF of cold storage and 7o SF of dry storage. On an annual basis, storage would command revenues of $33 per square foot for cold storage and $12 per square foot for dry storage. Both the demand figures and lease rates reflect averages for several markets surveyed. Table 7: Annual Storage Space Lease Rates and Revenues at Stabilization, 2015 $ Variable SF Lease rate/SF Revenue Leased storage space (94% occupancy) Cold 1,781 $33.00 $58,775 Dry 1,979 12.00 23,747 Total 3,760 $82,522 Ancillary Market Components. This analysis assumes an all - in lease rate of sio per square foot per year for the commercial kitchen and event spaces in the market. Given 4,000 leasable square feet, these components will generate $4o,00o per year in lease revenues. Given the uniqueness of both the commercial kitchen and event space, the potential for these spaces to be used for educational/incubation purposes, and the lack of true comparable facilities in the market, this rate should be viewed as a placeholder. We recommend that the market explore partnership opportunities in the next phase of its analysis. 7.1.2 Expenses This section summarizes the assumptions used for operating and other expenses in the financial forecast. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 28 Payroll and Benefits. Table 8 presents the number and cost of the staff required to operate the Yakima Market. In total, it will require 2.5 full-time equivalent (FTE) employees. Using wage data from the Washington State Employment and Security Department and a benefit load of 3o percent, ECONorthwest calculated that these employees would cost a total of $i6o,55o in wages and benefits. All of these employees are integral to the successful operation of the market from day one, so there is no ramp -up period for staff. Table 8: Employees and Annual Payroll and Benefits, 2014 $ Position FTEs Annual Wage Total Payroll Total Pay and Benefits Manager Assistant manager Bookkeeper Total 1 $75,000 1 30,000 37,000 0.5 2.5 $75,000 30,000 18,500 $123,500 $97,500 39,000 24,050 $160,550 This is a lean staffing model that assumes the facility will contract out marketing, janitorial, and maintenance services. We also recommend that the market offer incentive pay to the manager based on the manager's ability to lease up vendor stalls and support vendor revenues. Utilities. ECONorthwest adjusted utility consumption data for a Portland branch of Whole Foods as the basis for its utility cost estimate. It adjusted this cost to account for the smaller Yakima Market size and lower cost of utilities. The analysis estimates that utilities, including electricity, gas, trash, recycling, and compost, will cost an average of $o.48 per square foot per month, or $5.76 per square foot per year. The Yakima Market likely will only cover the cost of utilities for common areas and other non -leased SF; it will pass on the cost of utilities for leased space to vendors and the operators of other ancillary components. Therefore, the total cost of utilities for the Market itself would be $87,000. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 29 Pest Control, Office, Legal, and other Professional. ECONorthwest used data from other public market business plans to estimate the pest control, office, legal, and other professional costs to Yakima Market. It reduced these costs marginally to account for the lower cost of services in Yakima. On an annual basis, we assume that Yakima Market will pay sii,000 for pest control, $15,000 for general office and other expenses, and $5,000 for legal and other professional expenses. Janitorial and Maintenance Services. To minimize the operating expenses, ECONorthwest recommends that the market contract out janitorial and maintenance services. We assumed this cost would equate to roughly the cost of hiring a full-time maintenance employee, $40,000 per year. The actual cost will depend on if the market uses two separate contractors (e.g., one for janitorial and one for maintenance) and how frequently it requires service. Marketing. The analysis assumes that the market will spend $2o,000 on marketing each year. This figure reflects the per square foot expenditures of Seattle's Pike Place Market. Insurance. ECONorthwest obtained an insurance quote for Yakima Market from a commercial insurance broker in the James Beard Public Market in the Portland area, and adjusted the policy and premium for the construction cost estimate for the Yakima Market. ECONorthwest estimates that insurance will cost sii,000 per year. This quote assumes that vendors and other lessors would have their own insurance, and that the market would be responsible solely for the building and any property inside that is not leased. 7.2 Financial Forecast This section shows the financial performance of Yakima Market over a ten-year period. The analysis assumes that the market opens in January 2017 and reaches stabilization by January 2019. Therefore, our financial statements show performance from 2017 through 2026. Both the earnings and cash flow statements indicate that Yakima Market, if it is successful in attracting and retaining customers, will be a profitable enterprise. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 30 Table 9 provides the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) statement for Yakima Market. The EBITDA statement is a good indicator of organizational performance, as it shows the net operating profit, while eliminating the effects of financing and accounting decisions. In its first two year of operations, Yakima Market will have small net losses as it ramps up. At stabilization in 2019, the market will generate positive earnings of $58,501. EBITDA will rise at about the rate of inflation in each year thereafter, as this analysis assumes that both lease rates and expenses (with the exception of property taxes) rise with inflation. Table 9: Earnings Statement, 2018 - 2027, Current Dollars 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Occupancy and Lease Rates Vendors Leasable SF, indoor and outdoo 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 8,352 Occupancy rate 75% 80% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% Leased SF 6,264 6,682 7,851 7,851 7,851 7,851 7,851 7,851 7,851 7,851 Average lease rate, $/SF, all in $37 $38 $39 $40 $41 $42 $43 $44 $45 $46 Commercial Kitchen and Event Space Leasable SF 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 Occupancy rate 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Leased SF 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 Average lease rate, $/SF, all in $10 $11 $11 $11 $11 $12 $12 $12 $13 $13 Storage Cold Leasable SF 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 1,895 Occupancy rate 50% 75% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% Leased SF 947 1,421 1,781 1,781 1,781 1,781 1,781 1,781 1,781 1,781 Average lease rate, $/SF, all in $34.23 $35.00 $35.85 $36.75 $37.67 $38.61 $39.58 $40.57 $41.58 $42.62 Dry Leasable SF 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 2,105 Occupancy rate 50% 75% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% Leased SF 1,053 1,579 1,979 1,979 1,979 1,979 1,979 1,979 1,979 1,979 Average lease rate, $/SF, all in $12.45 $12.73 $13.04 $13.36 $13.70 $14.04 $14.39 $14.75 $15.12 $15.50 Revenues Vendors $232,484 $253,510 $305,165 $312,794 $320,614 $328,629 $336,845 $345,266 $353,898 $362,745 Commercial Kitchen 41,497 42,421 43,460 44,546 45,660 46,801 47,971 49,171 50,400 51,660 Storage 45,537 69,828 89,659 91,901 94,198 96,553 98,967 101,441 103,978 106,577 Total revenues $319,518 $365,760 $438,284 $449,241 $460,472 $471,984 $483,783 $495,878 $508,275 $520,982 Cash Operating Expenses Payroll and benefits $166,557 $170,269 $174,436 $178,797 $183,267 $187,849 $192,545 $197,358 $202,292 $207,350 Yakima utilities 90,255 92,267 94,525 96,888 99,310 101,793 104,338 106,946 109,620 112,360 Pest control 11,412 11,666 11,951 12,250 12,556 12,870 13,192 13,522 13,860 14,206 General office and other 15,561 15,908 16,297 16,705 17,122 17,550 17,989 18,439 18,900 19,372 Legal and professional 5,187 5,303 5,432 5,568 5,707 5,850 5,996 6,146 6,300 6,457 Janitorial and maintenance 41,497 42,421 43,460 44,546 45,660 46,801 47,971 49,171 50,400 51,660 Marketing 20,748 21,211 21,730 22,273 22,830 23,401 23,986 24,585 25,200 25,830 Insurance 11,412 11,666 11,951 12,250 12,556 12,870 13,192 13,522 13,860 14,206 Cash operating expenses $362,628 $370,710 $379,783 $389,277 $399,009 $408,984 $419,209 $429,689 $440,432 $451,442 EBITDA 443,110 44,950 $58,501 $59,964 $61,463 $62,999 $64,574 $66,189 $67,843 $69,539 B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 31 This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 32 8. Economic Impacts and Benefits The market will have a range of beneficial impacts on local governments, the regional economy, and the local community. Economic Impacts. Suppliers of goods and services to the market, including farmers, wholesalers, and shippers, will see demand from the market and its vendors, thus increasing their employment. Those are indirect impacts. More importantly, the earnings going to employees, vendors, and farmers because of the market will be spent and re -spent throughout the region. These induced impacts would be significant. Fiscal Impacts. In addition to economic impacts, the market will have fiscal impacts in the form of tax revenues to state and local governments. The $4.2 to $6.5 million in sales each year would generate substantial sales tax revenues. If a private entity or nonprofit owns the Market, it would pay property tax revenues. Dynamic Impacts. Over the long-term, the market will have dynamic impacts on the economy. Dynamic impacts are qualitative and long-term. Over time, and particularly if the market has an incubator/accelerator component, it will support development of the local food processing industry. Agricultural producers and local entrepreneurs will have the opportunity to produce value-added products, which have higher margins. As the number and size of these businesses grow, so too will the region's brand, drawing more food- and beverage -related businesses from outside the area. Eventually, we would expect Yakima to develop a robust food and beverage cluster. Community and Economic Development Impacts. The Market will draw visitors from across the County to downtown. If it is located adjacent to the public plaza, the Market may increase pedestrian traffic to the plaza and nearby businesses. As a result, we would expect new businesses to locate downtown and invest in its revitalization. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 33 This page intentionally blank B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 34 9. Appendix A: Outreach Results During the winter or 2015, the City of Yakima conducted an online community survey to ask residents about their shopping habits and interest in a public market in Yakima. Respondents to the survey were overwhelmingly supportive of a public market, and most favor locating it in downtown Yakima. The opportunity for local fresh produce was by far the greatest appeal, followed by variety and quality. A summary of survey findings follows below. On your most recent grocery shopping trip ... WHERE DID YOU GO? Most shop for groceries at a grocery (84%) or grocery/department (38%) store. For "Other," Costco was named 29 times out of 1o5 responses (28%). HOW MUCH DID YOU SPEND? Most spent between $5o and si5o (62%). RANK THE FOLLOWING CONSIDERATIONS IN ORDER OF IMPORTANCE TO YOUR PURCHASING DECISIONS Rankings of Locally Produced, Price, Convenience, and Organic, respondents' rankings were very balanced, with locally produced and price at the top and organic at the bottom. Score Consideration 2.91 Locally Produced 2.87 Price 2.40 Convenience 1.82 Organic B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 35 OVERALL, HOW SATISFIED WERE YOU WITH YOUR MOST RECENT GROCERY SHOPPING EXPERIENCE? Respondents were largely satisfied (80%) with their grocery shopping experience. Those not satisfied had various comments about why, including: Not Local (30/121) 25% Low Quality Produce (24/121) 20% Not Fresh (21/121) 17% Not Organic (15/121) 12% Price / Too Expense (12/121) 10% Not Specialty (7/121) 6% Don't like Walmart (6/121) 5% Want a Farmers Market (5/121) 4% Low Quality (5/121) 4% Want a Trader Joes (4/121) 3% For food and beverage shopping in the last two weeks WHERE DID YOU GO? Grocery store (e.g. Safeway) 89% 473 Grocery/department store (e.g. Walmart) 37% 211 Convenience store 10% 55 Farmers market 8% 47 Specialty foods market 19% 108 Other (please specify) 19% 105 Other: Costco (27/105) 26% Restaurant (22/105) 21% HOW MANY TIMES DID YOU PURCHASE FOOD OR BEVERAGE IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS? 61% Three or more times 29% Twice HOW MUCH DID YOU SPEND? Over $100 78% Over $150 56% Over $200 32% Over $250 16% HOW MANY TIMES DID YOU VISIT A FULL SERVICE OR FAST-FOOD RESTAURANT IN THE PAST TWO WEEKS? Average of twice for both full-service and fast food. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 36 HOW MUCH DID YOU SPEND IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS AT RESTAURANTS? 65% spending less than sioo. HOW FREQUENTLY DO YOU VISIT FARMERS MARKETS OR SPECIALTY FOOD MARKETS? 48% once a month or more, including 19% once a week or more WHAT DO YOU LIKE ABOUT THE FARMERS MARKETS OR SPECIALTY FOOD MARKETS YOU VISIT? With almost all survey respondents answering the question, about half named "local," half named "fresh," and almost a third named "produce" as what they like about farmers markets or specialty food markets. "Variety," "quality," "organic," and "price" were also common responses. Local (256/505) 51% Fresh (238/505) 47% Produce (157/505) 31% Variety (63/505) 12% Quality (46/505) 9% Organic (37/505) 7% Price (19/505) 4% WHAT DO YOU NOT LIKE ABOUT THE FARMERS MARKETS OF SPECIALTY FOOD MARKETS YOU VISIT? Price or cost was the number one answer by respondents to what they do not like about farmers markets or specialty food markets, at 13%. Other issues mentioned frequently included "selection," "hours/schedule," and "inconvenience." Notably, just as many people responded with "nothing" that they do not like as to most of the negative responses. Price/cost (60/460) 13% Selection (42/460) 9% Nothing (37/460) 8% Hours/schedule (32/460) 7% Inconvenience (27/460) 6% B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 37 WOULD YOU LIKE TO SEE A PUBLIC MARKET IN YAKIMA? Respondents overwhelmingly like the idea of a public market in Yakima, with 83% supporting the idea, and only 9% against. Yes 83% No 9% Don't know 8% IF NO, PLEASE EXPLAIN ... Of those responding no to a public market in Yakima, the most common reason was that there is "no need" for it. Parking was also a common response. Notably, several people mentioned taxes (or a poor use of tax dollars) to this open-ended question. No need (36/46) 78% Parking (27/46) 59% Taxes (5/46) 11% WHAT WOULD BE AN IDEAL LOCATION FOR A PUBLIC MARKET IN YAKIMA? With almost everyone answering the question, the overwhelming favorite location for a public market in Yakima was "downtown," with 45% mentioning downtown in this open-ended question, although a handful of respondents made strong statements against locating a public market downtown (mostly because of problems with the downtown area). Several people mentioned locating the market in combination with Millennium Plaza and/or the new plaza. B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 38 WHAT WOULD YOU LIKE TO SEE IN A PUBLIC MARKET? (CHECK ALL THAT APPLY) When asked what they would like to see in a pubic market, almost all respondents chose food and beverage vendors and prepared foods. Two-thirds selected restaurants, and almost as many selected an event space. About half (53%) selected a commercial kitchen, and almost half (47%) selected educational programs. Food and beverage vendors 94% 496 Prepared foods 80% 425 Restaurants 66% 350 An event space 59% 314 A commercial kitchen 53% 278 Educational program 47% 249 Other (please specify) 32% 167 WHAT IS YOUR ZIP CODE? Most respondents were from local ZIP codes, with 74% from 98908, 98902, or 98901. 98908 155 98902 137 98901 64 98942 32 98903 26 Other 69 483 HOW OLD ARE YOU? Respondents were from a solid cross section of ages, with 76% falling between 25 and 64 years of age. Under 18 0% 1 18to24 14% 72 25 to 34 23% 123 35 to 44 22% 115 45 to 54 15% 80 55 to 64 16% 83 65 or older 10% 55 529 B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 39 HOW MANY PEOPLE LIVE IN YOUR HOME (INCLUDING YOURSELF)? Respondents came from a variety of household sizes, with two - person households by far the most common (42%), followed by three- and four -person households. 1 57 2 221 3 96 4 88 5 43 6 12 7 4 8 2 9 2 525 WHAT IS YOUR ANNUAL TOTAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME? Respondents' incomes were higher than Yakima's population as a whole, with 47% having a household income over $75,000 per year. Less than $25,000 9% 47 $25,000 to $50,000 19% 100 $50,000 to $75,000 24% 126 Over $75,000 47% 245 518 B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 40 10. Appendix B: Workshop Summary B D S ECONorthwest GRAHAM BABA ARCHITECTS 41 Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study Options Workshop Summary October 27, 2014 Executive Summary The following is a summary of options for a public market/mixed-use incubator as presented to the City of Yakima on October 27, 2014. During this daylong workshop, the consulting team toured potential sites and brainstormed options, while considering existing plans and findings from previously completed outreach with potential vendors. These activities helped the team identify priorities for a public market and/or mixed-use incubator in Yakima. Existing plans and key findings from initial outreach: • The City of Yakima has identified downtown revitalization as a community priority; • Conceptual design is complete and fundraising is underway for an iconic public plaza in downtown Yakima; • There is strong demand in Yakima and nearby communities from potential vendors in a public market; • There is also strong demand for a commercial kitchen from food artisans in the Yakima area. Successful public markets have many of the following characteristics in common: • They are 'right sized' for their communities; • Vendors are charged reasonable rents and have an option to rent more than one space to meet their needs; • They have a mix of vendors selling local produce and prepared foods; • Their success is, in large part, related to the number and diversity of vendors they have; • They have taken advantage of iconic buildings or features; • They are debt free (which allows for reasonable rents); capital costs were funded up front through allocations from public agencies, fundraising, crowdsourcing, and use of applicable tax credits; • They have a strong operating entity to oversee development and on-going operations; • They sometimes include and benefit from a fully equipped, licensed, and accredited commercial kitchen that may or may not be operated by the same entity. Based on the above, the Consulting Team recommends that the City of Yakima: • Proceed with planning for a Public Market and Incubator Kitchen to capitalize on and accelerate existing momentum in downtown Yakima; • Consider the above characteristics when making decisions about the future of a public market; • Conjoin the Public Market and Incubator Kitchen with the Public Plaza to reinforce both investments. These findings, characteristics, and recommendations will inform the remaining phases of the feasibility study. Introduction The consulting team for the Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study met in Yakima for a one -day workshop on October 27, 2014. They collaboratively evaluated the previous outreach and analysis, toured potential sites, brainstormed options, and presented a synthesis of options to the Steering Committee, City Manager, Councilors and others. This summary highlights options for a public market and/or mixed-use incubator for the City of Yakima. BDS PLANNING & URBAN DESIGN Yakima -Options Workshop-Summary-v4-20141027.docx 12/5/14 Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study OPTIONS WORKSHOP SUMMARY 2 Public Market Concepts Ron Paul is a public market expert who is leading the charge to build the James Beard Public Market in Portland, Oregon as a year-round, food focused venue. Ron also brings his unique expertise as a former chef, restaurateur, and chief of staff to a Portland City Councilor (who is now mayor of Portland). Ron portrayed some of the essential characteristics of successful public markets. A public market requires a critical mass and mix of vendors who sell local products and prepared food whenever possible, but understand that the regional growing season can limit those offerings. Selling accurately labeled foods from elsewhere in the world is a necessity for the public market to succeed. The space needs to be 'sized right' for the community. Iconic public markets have a vibrancy and sense of community that attracts vendors, consumers, and visitors—they tell the story of the local people, their food, and their culture. A teaching kitchen, or accelerator/incubator kitchen, can help people learn more about food in general. More importantly, a commercial kitchen allows small businesses to prepare their products and expand their product lines in a fully equipped, licensed, and accredited space. The Consulting Team previously discussed the variables of co -locating a public market with an accelerator kitchen in the City of Yakima. The Team agreed that a public market and accelerator kitchen should be co -located if possible, but could also be developed close to each other for synchronicity if not necessarily in the same building. Based on comparably sized cities across the country, the City of Yakima might consider a public market that: • Is 15,000-20,000 square feet in space (gross), ideally with an additional 2,000-4,000 square foot (gross) accelerator kitchen for vendors, and additional space for storage; • Uses a 12' x 12' stall module design to accommodate as many as 30 vendors, which can result in higher sales at lower overhead; some vendors will be happy with a small space. Others will want more space based on their business (e.g. produce) to showcase their products; and • Has, on average, 25-30 vendors. Pybus Market in Wenatchee, by comparison, is 25,000 square feet with 17 vendors. Economics & Funding Abe Farkas has over three decades of experience in planning and developing a wide variety of mixed-use, sustainable projects and structuring successful public-private partnerships that have improved urban neighborhoods, downtowns, business districts, and university environments. Abe's work at ECONorthwest, as well as his past experiences at the Portland Development Commission and City of Eugene, include analyzing the financial feasibility for a number of diverse projects, including the Portland Public Market Feasibility Analysis and Business Plan. Abe provided a brief overview about the economics of successful public market. Fundamentally, a public market needs to start out debt -free on the capital side. Additionally, successful markets have a strong operating entity (can be non-profit, public or private) to oversee development and on-going operations. It is possible that the development overseer and the on-going operator might be different entities, but they do need to coordinate from the beginning. Procuring and evaluating tenant interest depends largely on how rent is explained to them. It is better to talk about rent on a daily or monthly basis, rather than per year or per square foot. The key is getting tenants to consider what they might expect in gross revenues on a daily basis, and relating that to a percentage of rent paid daily or monthly. The numbers used in the examples are orders of magnitude only, and meant solely to stimulate thinking. They are ranges; and could be more, or less, depending on the situation. Construction may cost $200 to $300 per square foot; this includes hard and soft costs. Various soft costs are often estimated up to 20%-35% because they include architecture, building fees, technical fees etc. A 15,000-20,000 square foot public market for Yakima could cost between $3.5 and $5.1M to build. BDS 12/5/14 Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study OPTIONS WORKSHOP SUMMARY 3 In order to remain debt free on the capital side, potential sources of capital funding should include: • Allocations from public agencies, city, county, state, and federal government; • Fundraising, naming rights, short and long-term sponsorships, and crowdsourcing; and • Rehabilitation or adaptive reuse tax credits for historic buildings. Site Assessment Brian Douglas Scott is Principal of BDS Planning & Urban in Seattle. He has more than 30 years of experience in comprehensive community development. Brian's past experience includes 15 years as President and Executive Director of the Oregon Downtown Development Association. As project director of the Ankeny/Burnside Redevelopment Framework in Portland, he helped facilitate a permanent home for the Portland Saturday Market in conjunction with more than $30M in related public and private development. Brian explained how the Consulting Team assessed the seven sites selected by the City of Yakima for the feasibility study. After a tour, the Consulting Team discussed the pros and cons of each site. They also considered two sites of their own choosing. The Team considered each site in relation to its location and size, existing buildings/infrastructure, lighting, ambiance, parking, and adjacency to the proposed plaza, among other criteria. The pros and cons of each site were identified. Possible Public Market/ Commercial Kitchen Sites--n^,cit Ma:—,nr�e:'.I�. Left: Sites considered for Public Market Below: Summary of Co -location & Site Evaluations 0 0 0 U Incubator Kitchen Co -Locate Separate • Synergy • Focus •Cheaper •Simpler • Cost •Space • Complicated • Missed opportunity Public Market Locations North Front South Front Hellison Food Court Wilson K&K Dragon Inn Plaza Plaza co -located adjacent Ambiance •Adjacencies •Visibility • Distant •Small • Ownership •New construction • Size & shape • Distant • Parking •Adjacencies • Ownership •New construction • Building • Market "feel" • Distant • Parking • Expensive to retrofit • Location • Facilities • Opportunity to change • Nonadjacent Ambiance •Small •Adjacencies •Image • Location •Tax credits •Small per floor • Complexity • Expensive to retrofit • Location • Parking • Size •Light • Availability • Residential adjacencies •Tax credits • Nonadjacent • Not iconic • Mixed-use challenges • Expensive to retrofit • Location •Adjacent • Activating •Tax credits •Tough building • Loss of existing uses • Requires whole bldg. • Location! •Adjacent • Activating • Ownership •New construction • Displace parking • Location! •Adjacent • Activating •Availability? • Size? BDS 12/5/14 Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study OPTIONS WORKSHOP SUMMARY 4 Each of the sites considered had merits for a Public Market and/or a Commercial Kitchen. Most of the sites could be physically adapted to support these uses. A primary issue, however, is the relationship of the Public Market and Commercial Incubator Kitchen to the Public Plaza. Downtown Yakima already struggles to compete economically. Successful commercial districts function best when their destination uses are close together to focus and reinforce the attraction of the whole district. As such, the consulting team strongly suggests that the Public Market be co - located with the Public Plaza in order to reinforce the community's investments and draw more activity. The consulting team also looked at the co -location of a commercial kitchen with the public market using the same criteria. The Team agreed that there is not a definitive answer to whether these facilities should be co -located. Given the local enthusiasm for both, however, the opportunity for one to reinforce the other should be captured. Market Concept Brett Baba, co-founder of Graham Baba Architects in Seattle in 2006, is an architect with over 30 years of experience with residential and public projects. The firm's best-known project is the nationally recognized, multi -use Melrose Market, which opened in Seattle in 2010. Graham Baba also designed the Pybus Public Market in Wenatchee, which provides an excellent precedent and successful model for a public market in Yakima. Brett described the need for a public market to have iconic character. Pybus Market had the space already, along with iconic buildings (war -time steel manufacturing). Another popular market is the Ferry Terminal in San Francisco. Left (above & below): Pybus Public Market, Wenatchee, WA Right (above & below): Ferry Terminal Market San Francisco, CA To be a long-term success, a public market has to be a place that has iconic character. For some of the possible sites for the Yakima Public Market, building facades would need to be dramatically enhanced, which can be very expensive. Brett explained the Consulting Team's discussion about the need for an iconic feeling as reinforcement for the recommendation that the Public Market be located in conjunction with the Public Plaza. BDS 12/5/14 Public Market/Mixed Use Incubator Feasibility Study OPTIONS WORKSHOP SUMMARY 5 Discussion Below are highlights from the concluding discussion: • A close relationship between a public market and the farmers market will benefit both markets and community. • Previously completed outreach suggests there is a high level of interest from vendors in a public market. • A compelling vision and location for a public market will catalyze demand and community excitement. • To be debt free, a market will need to be funded by donors, grants, allocations, applicable tax credits etc. • The operating budget for the market would be funded through vendor rentals and other generated revenue. Additional vendor interviews would be needed to determine a threshold for possible rents. • If the City moves forward with a public market, transparent criteria for site selection will be needed. • If the City moves forward with this project, public and private champions for the public market will be required both for development and for operations. BDS 12/5/14